Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 87% |
| O/U 213.5 | 86% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 217.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 77% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 77% |
| O/U 219.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 75% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| O/U 220.5 | 72% |
| O/U 221.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 223.5 | 67% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 66% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 60% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 227.5 | 59% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 229.5 | 55% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 45% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 236.5 | 39% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 38% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 35% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 35% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| O/U 239.5 | 33% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 33% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Spread -19.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 29% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| O/U 245.5 | 22% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Spurs vs. Mavericks" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 95% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is post…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $362K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir lesen Prognose: Spurs vs. Mavericks aus vier Plattform-Perspektiven: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-Exchange), Betfair Exchange (Sportbörse), Smarkets (Tausch-Wettbörse). Polymarkets Live-Mid ist die kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Einzahlungswege, damit Sie die Plattform wählen können, die zu Ihrer Jurisdiktion und Trade-Größe passt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket settelt über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon. Ein Proposer reicht das Outcome mit Bond ein, das Two-Hour-Window läuft, dann zahlt der Smart Contract USDC aus.
Kalshi settelt USD via die CFTC-regulierte Clearinghouse — die saubere Variante, mit höherem KYC-Aufwand. Betfair Exchange zahlt in der Konto-Währung (GBP/EUR), abzüglich 2-5 % Kommission. Smarkets folgt dem gleichen Modell wie Betfair, mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2 %).
Häufige Fragen
- Was kostet Polymarket vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% Gebühren, nur Polygon-Netzwerkkosten (~$0,01/Trade). Kalshi: bis zu 7% pro Trade plus Spread. Für hochfrequente Trader ist Polymarket dramatisch günstiger.
- Welche Plattform hat die tiefste Liquidität?
- Polymarket — mit deutlichem Abstand. Top-Märkte erreichen $50-500 Mio Volumen, Kalshi ~$200 Mio kumuliert, Betfair ähnlich. Bei tiefer Liquidität bewegt Ihr Trade die Quote weniger.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Welche Plattform ist in Deutschland zugänglich?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Kalshi ist US-only. Betfair und Smarkets sind in DE/AT/CH geo-blockiert. PolyGram hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint und leitet zu Polymarkets Orderbuch ohne Gebühren.
- Welche Plattform unterstützt Klarna/Sofort?
- Direkt: keine. Polymarket akzeptiert nur USDC on Polygon. PolyGram bietet eine Fiat-On-Ramp via Klarna oder Sofort (DE/AT/CH) und konvertiert intern zu USDC für das Polymarket-Orderbuch. T+1 Bearbeitung.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Spurs vs. Mavericks" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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