Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Kalshi Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 207.5 | 95% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 94% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 94% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 91% |
| O/U 213.5 | 90% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 9.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 90% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 89% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| O/U 215.5 | 87% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 9.5 | 87% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 86% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 1.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 86% |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans | 85% |
| O/U 217.5 | 85% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 85% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 85% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 85% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 84% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 14.5 | 83% |
| O/U 219.5 | 82% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 4.5 | 82% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 221.5 | 78% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 14.5 | 78% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 4.5 | 78% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| O/U 223.5 | 74% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 73% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| Pelicans O/U 107.5 | 72% |
| Pelicans O/U 101.5 | 72% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 71% |
| O/U 225.5 | 70% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Steals O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 49.5 | 70% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 56.5 | 70% |
| Spread -6.5 | 69% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 68% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5 | 68% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 67% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| O/U 227.5 | 66% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 64% |
| Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| O/U 229.5 | 62% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 51.5 | 61% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 58.5 | 61% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Nuggets O/U 121.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Pelicans O/U 103.5 | 60% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5 | 59% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 59% |
| Pelicans O/U 105.5 | 59% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 58% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 231.5 | 57% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Nuggets O/U 115.5 | 57% |
| Nuggets O/U 111.5 | 57% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| Pelicans O/U 109.5 | 56% |
| Nuggets O/U 113.5 | 56% |
| Pelicans O/U 99.5 | 56% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| Nuggets O/U 117.5 | 55% |
| O/U 233.5 | 54% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 54% |
| Nuggets O/U 119.5 | 54% |
| Spread -11.5 | 53% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 60.5 | 52% |
| Pelicans O/U 110.5 | 52% |
| O/U 234.5 | 51% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| Nuggets O/U 123.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 48% |
| Nuggets O/U 124.5 | 48% |
| O/U 235.5 | 47% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Pelicans O/U 115.5 | 47% |
| Pelicans O/U 117.5 | 47% |
| Pelicans O/U 119.5 | 47% |
| Pelicans O/U 121.5 | 47% |
| Pelicans O/U 123.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Pelicans O/U 111.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Nuggets O/U 125.5 | 44% |
| Nuggets O/U 127.5 | 44% |
| Nuggets O/U 131.5 | 44% |
| O/U 237.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 43% |
| Nuggets O/U 129.5 | 43% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Nuggets O/U 133.5 | 42% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 41% |
| Pelicans O/U 113.5 | 41% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 62.5 | 41% |
| Nuggets O/U 135.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| O/U 239.5 | 39% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 39% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Spread -16.5 | 37% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Steals O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Herbert Jones: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 39.5 | 36% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 241.5 | 35% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5 | 35% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5 | 35% |
| Herbert Jones: Steals O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 243.5 | 31% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 30% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Zion Williamson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 28% |
| O/U 245.5 | 27% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 57.5 | 27% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| O/U 247.5 | 23% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 23% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 17.5 | 22% |
| Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| O/U 249.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 20% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 18% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 18% |
| O/U 251.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 17% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Zion Williamson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 15% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| O/U 253.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 14% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Herbert Jones: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 14% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 13% |
| O/U 255.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 11% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 44.5 | 11% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 257.5 | 10% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 10% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| O/U 259.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 39.5 | 8% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Zion Williamson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| O/U 261.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 7% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| O/U 263.5 | 6% |
| Spread -36.5 | 6% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Nuggets vs. Pelicans — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 95%. In the upcoming NBA game between Nuggets and Pelicans, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Nuggets win,…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $381K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir lesen Prognose: Nuggets vs. Pelicans aus vier Plattform-Perspektiven: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-Exchange), Betfair Exchange (Sportbörse), Smarkets (Tausch-Wettbörse). Polymarkets Live-Mid ist die kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Einzahlungswege, damit Sie die Plattform wählen können, die zu Ihrer Jurisdiktion und Trade-Größe passt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Settlement ist der größte Unterschied zwischen den vier Plattformen: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (sofort), Kalshi USD über CFTC (T+1), Betfair und Smarkets in lokaler Währung über Bank-Withdrawal (T+1 bis T+3). On-chain Settlement ist deutlich schneller — wer auf Polymarkets Orderbuch zugreift, hat USDC binnen Minuten auf der Wallet.
Häufige Fragen
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Welche Plattform ist in Deutschland zugänglich?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Kalshi ist US-only. Betfair und Smarkets sind in DE/AT/CH geo-blockiert. Kalshi Deutschland hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint und leitet zu Polymarkets Orderbuch ohne Gebühren.
- Sind alle Plattformen reguliert?
- Nein. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert (US). Betfair und Smarkets sind UK Gambling Commission lizensiert. Polymarket operiert ohne explizite Regulierung — was eine andere Risiko-Profil ist als regulierter Sportwetten-Anbieter.
- Welche Plattform unterstützt Klarna/Sofort?
- Direkt: keine. Polymarket akzeptiert nur USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Deutschland bietet eine Fiat-On-Ramp via Klarna oder Sofort (DE/AT/CH) und konvertiert intern zu USDC für das Polymarket-Orderbuch. T+1 Bearbeitung.
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