Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Boston College O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| O/U 35.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -5.5 | 88% |
| O/U 41.5 | 88% |
| Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| O/U 43.5 | 75% |
| Spread -13.5 | 73% |
| Spread -8.5 | 72% |
| O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| O/U 45.5 | 71% |
| Spread -14.5 | 66% |
| Boston College O/U 28.5 | 66% |
| Spread -16.5 | 65% |
| Boston College O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| O/U 49.5 | 63% |
| Spread -17.5 | 62% |
| O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% |
| Spread -20.5 | 54% |
| O/U 63.5 | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Evan Dickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KJ Duff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antwan Raymond: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason McKenzie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo MacCormack III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Javarius Green: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| John Montague: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaedn Skeete: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reed Swanson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Black: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dylan Lonergan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zeke Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dawson Pough: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jourdin Houston: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| AJ Surace: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Clay Thevenin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Logan Blake: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nolan Ray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ja'shon Benjamin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brady Clough: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Famah Toure: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mike Higgins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Thomas III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Vernon Allen III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Wade: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -11.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Rutgers O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Rutgers O/U 20.5 | 42% |
| O/U 59.5 | 41% |
| Rutgers O/U 23.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Rutgers O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| O/U 73.5 | 30% |
| Rutgers O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| Rutgers O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Rutgers O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 71.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| Rutgers vs. Boston College | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Rutgers vs. Boston College. In the upcoming college football game between Rutgers and Boston College, scheduled for September 11 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rutgers" if Rutgers win the game. This market will resol…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $360K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Vergleichsseite vergleicht Prognose: Rutgers vs. Boston College spezifisch zwischen Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange und Smarkets. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch ohne Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket settelt über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon. Ein Proposer reicht das Outcome mit Bond ein, das Two-Hour-Window läuft, dann zahlt der Smart Contract USDC aus.
Kalshi settelt USD via die CFTC-regulierte Clearinghouse — die saubere Variante, mit höherem KYC-Aufwand. Betfair Exchange zahlt in der Konto-Währung (GBP/EUR), abzüglich 2-5 % Kommission. Smarkets folgt dem gleichen Modell wie Betfair, mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2 %).
Häufige Fragen
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — welche ist besser?
- Hängt von Ihrem Standort ab. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert und US-only mit voller KYC. Polymarket ist global, on-chain, ohne KYC bis $1.500. Polymarket hat ~10x höhere Liquidität, aber höheres regulatorisches Risiko.
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Welche Plattform ist in Deutschland zugänglich?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Kalshi ist US-only. Betfair und Smarkets sind in DE/AT/CH geo-blockiert. PolyGram hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint und leitet zu Polymarkets Orderbuch ohne Gebühren.
- Sind alle Plattformen reguliert?
- Nein. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert (US). Betfair und Smarkets sind UK Gambling Commission lizensiert. Polymarket operiert ohne explizite Regulierung — was eine andere Risiko-Profil ist als regulierter Sportwetten-Anbieter.
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