Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| O/U 31.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| O/U 37.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| Spread -11.5 | 90% |
| Spread -10.5 | 88% |
| Spread -9.5 | 88% |
| O/U 43.5 | 87% |
| Spread -13.5 | 85% |
| Spread -7.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| Spread -16.5 | 79% |
| Spread -14.5 | 78% |
| Spread -17.5 | 77% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| Spread -20.5 | 71% |
| O/U 49.5 | 70% |
| O/U 50.5 | 69% |
| Spread -23.5 | 62% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 30.5 | 60% |
| O/U 52.5 | 59% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 34.5 | 59% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Spread -24.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| Spread -27.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Old Dominion O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Old Dominion O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Marcellous Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeffrey Overton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinn Henicle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayden Greene: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Messiah Mickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devin Roche: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Que'Sean Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Reynolds: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trey Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JJ Harrell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Benji Gosnell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyseer Denmark: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Leon Haughton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chanz Wiggins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Rodriguez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maurki James: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sidney Mbanasor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Damon Duke: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -19.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| Spread -33.5 | 28% |
| Spread -30.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 99% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech. In the upcoming college football game between Old Dominion and Virginia Tech, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Old Dominion" if Old Dominion win the game. This ma…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $196K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Vergleichsseite vergleicht Prognose: Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech spezifisch zwischen Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange und Smarkets. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch ohne Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Settlement ist der größte Unterschied zwischen den vier Plattformen: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (sofort), Kalshi USD über CFTC (T+1), Betfair und Smarkets in lokaler Währung über Bank-Withdrawal (T+1 bis T+3). On-chain Settlement ist deutlich schneller — wer auf Polymarkets Orderbuch zugreift, hat USDC binnen Minuten auf der Wallet.
Häufige Fragen
- Was kostet Polymarket vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% Gebühren, nur Polygon-Netzwerkkosten (~$0,01/Trade). Kalshi: bis zu 7% pro Trade plus Spread. Für hochfrequente Trader ist Polymarket dramatisch günstiger.
- Welche Plattform hat die tiefste Liquidität?
- Polymarket — mit deutlichem Abstand. Top-Märkte erreichen $50-500 Mio Volumen, Kalshi ~$200 Mio kumuliert, Betfair ähnlich. Bei tiefer Liquidität bewegt Ihr Trade die Quote weniger.
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Welche Plattform ist in Deutschland zugänglich?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Kalshi ist US-only. Betfair und Smarkets sind in DE/AT/CH geo-blockiert. PolyGram hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint und leitet zu Polymarkets Orderbuch ohne Gebühren.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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