Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 41.5 | 92% |
| Spread -27.5 | 91% |
| Spread -25.5 | 91% |
| O/U 43.5 | 90% |
| Spread -28.5 | 86% |
| O/U 45.5 | 85% |
| Spread -29.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 83% |
| Spread -31.5 | 82% |
| Charlotte O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Spread -32.5 | 80% |
| O/U 49.5 | 78% |
| Spread -34.5 | 76% |
| O/U 51.5 | 73% |
| Spread -35.5 | 73% |
| Spread -37.5 | 70% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| Ole Miss O/U 46.5 | 68% |
| Ole Miss O/U 47.5 | 67% |
| Spread -38.5 | 67% |
| Charlotte O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| Spread -39.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 63% |
| Charlotte O/U 4.5 | 63% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| Ole Miss O/U 48.5 | 62% |
| Spread -40.5 | 62% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 0.5 | 61% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 60% |
| Spread -41.5 | 59% |
| O/U 57.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 57% |
| Ole Miss O/U 49.5 | 57% |
| Ole Miss O/U 50.5 | 56% |
| Spread -42.5 | 55% |
| Ole Miss O/U 51.5 | 54% |
| Spread -43.5 | 54% |
| Spread -21.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 52% |
| Spread -44.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Trinidad Chambliss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Hasz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Horatio Fields: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Odom: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Makhi Frazier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JT Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Johntay Cook II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Khamani Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Barnes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chance Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Gonzales: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derrick Eley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gus McGee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylen Hampton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zyheem Collick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Logan Mauldin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KD Hunter-Gibson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam Pedro: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 49% |
| Spread -45.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| Ole Miss O/U 52.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| Ole Miss O/U 53.5 | 46% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 31.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 46% |
| Spread -46.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 45% |
| Ole Miss O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| O/U 61.5 | 43% |
| Spread -47.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -28.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 40% |
| Ole Miss O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| Spread -48.5 | 40% |
| Charlotte O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| Spread -49.5 | 37% |
| Ole Miss O/U 56.5 | 36% |
| Spread -50.5 | 35% |
| O/U 65.5 | 34% |
| Ole Miss O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -31.5 | 33% |
| Ole Miss O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| Spread -51.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -23.5 | 32% |
| O/U 67.5 | 30% |
| Spread -52.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 41.5 | 29% |
| Spread -53.5 | 28% |
| Ole Miss O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| Ole Miss O/U 60.5 | 27% |
| Spread -54.5 | 27% |
| Charlotte O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 21% |
| Spread -56.5 | 21% |
| Charlotte O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 73.5 | 16% |
| Spread -59.5 | 16% |
| O/U 75.5 | 14% |
| Spread -60.5 | 13% |
| Spread -62.5 | 12% |
| O/U 77.5 | 10% |
| O/U 79.5 | 9% |
| Spread -66.5 | 9% |
| Spread -63.5 | 8% |
| O/U 81.5 | 7% |
| Charlotte vs. Ole Miss | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Charlotte vs. Ole Miss" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 94% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming college football game between Charlotte and Ole Miss, scheduled for September 12 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Charlotte" if Charlotte win the game. This market will resol…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $91K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Vergleichsseite vergleicht Prognose: Charlotte vs. Ole Miss spezifisch zwischen Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange und Smarkets. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch ohne Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket settelt über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon. Ein Proposer reicht das Outcome mit Bond ein, das Two-Hour-Window läuft, dann zahlt der Smart Contract USDC aus.
Kalshi settelt USD via die CFTC-regulierte Clearinghouse — die saubere Variante, mit höherem KYC-Aufwand. Betfair Exchange zahlt in der Konto-Währung (GBP/EUR), abzüglich 2-5 % Kommission. Smarkets folgt dem gleichen Modell wie Betfair, mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2 %).
Häufige Fragen
- Was kostet Polymarket vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% Gebühren, nur Polygon-Netzwerkkosten (~$0,01/Trade). Kalshi: bis zu 7% pro Trade plus Spread. Für hochfrequente Trader ist Polymarket dramatisch günstiger.
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Sind alle Plattformen reguliert?
- Nein. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert (US). Betfair und Smarkets sind UK Gambling Commission lizensiert. Polymarket operiert ohne explizite Regulierung — was eine andere Risiko-Profil ist als regulierter Sportwetten-Anbieter.
- Welche Plattform unterstützt Klarna/Sofort?
- Direkt: keine. Polymarket akzeptiert nur USDC on Polygon. PolyGram bietet eine Fiat-On-Ramp via Klarna oder Sofort (DE/AT/CH) und konvertiert intern zu USDC für das Polymarket-Orderbuch. T+1 Bearbeitung.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Charlotte vs. Ole Miss" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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