Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 90% |
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| Spread -0.5 | 73% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| O/U 37.5 | 69% |
| O/U 39.5 | 65% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 45.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 47.5 | 44% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| 1H Moneyline | 38% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 36% |
| Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 35% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| O/U 49.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 57.5 | 29% |
| Kentucky O/U 20.5 | 29% |
| O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| O/U 63.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| O/U 69.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 23% |
| O/U 73.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| O/U 55.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 91% Chance für prognose: kentucky vs. oklahoma. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Kentucky and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game. This ma…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $492K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir lesen Prognose: Kentucky vs. Oklahoma aus vier Plattform-Perspektiven: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-Exchange), Betfair Exchange (Sportbörse), Smarkets (Tausch-Wettbörse). Polymarkets Live-Mid ist die kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Einzahlungswege, damit Sie die Plattform wählen können, die zu Ihrer Jurisdiktion und Trade-Größe passt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Settlement ist der größte Unterschied zwischen den vier Plattformen: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (sofort), Kalshi USD über CFTC (T+1), Betfair und Smarkets in lokaler Währung über Bank-Withdrawal (T+1 bis T+3). On-chain Settlement ist deutlich schneller — wer auf Polymarkets Orderbuch zugreift, hat USDC binnen Minuten auf der Wallet.
Häufige Fragen
- Welche Plattform hat die tiefste Liquidität?
- Polymarket — mit deutlichem Abstand. Top-Märkte erreichen $50-500 Mio Volumen, Kalshi ~$200 Mio kumuliert, Betfair ähnlich. Bei tiefer Liquidität bewegt Ihr Trade die Quote weniger.
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Sind alle Plattformen reguliert?
- Nein. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert (US). Betfair und Smarkets sind UK Gambling Commission lizensiert. Polymarket operiert ohne explizite Regulierung — was eine andere Risiko-Profil ist als regulierter Sportwetten-Anbieter.
- Welche Plattform unterstützt Klarna/Sofort?
- Direkt: keine. Polymarket akzeptiert nur USDC on Polygon. PolyGram bietet eine Fiat-On-Ramp via Klarna oder Sofort (DE/AT/CH) und konvertiert intern zu USDC für das Polymarket-Orderbuch. T+1 Bearbeitung.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Kentucky vs. Oklahoma" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →