Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 69% |
| O/U 35.5 | 67% |
| O/U 37.5 | 60% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| TCU O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| TCU vs. Baylor | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| TCU O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| TCU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| TCU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| TCU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| TCU 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| TCU 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| TCU 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| TCU 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| TCU 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| TCU 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| TCU vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| TCU vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| TCU vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| TCU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| TCU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| TCU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| TCU vs. Baylor: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| TCU vs. Baylor: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| TCU vs. Baylor: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| TCU O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 43.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| O/U 45.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| O/U 47.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 53.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 49.5 | 23% |
| O/U 57.5 | 23% |
| O/U 59.5 | 22% |
| Baylor O/U 23.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| O/U 71.5 | 20% |
| O/U 73.5 | 20% |
| O/U 51.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| O/U 55.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: TCU vs. Baylor. In the upcoming college football game between TCU and Baylor, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Bayl…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $225K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Vergleichsseite vergleicht Prognose: TCU vs. Baylor spezifisch zwischen Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange und Smarkets. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebühren, KYC, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch ohne Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket settelt über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon. Ein Proposer reicht das Outcome mit Bond ein, das Two-Hour-Window läuft, dann zahlt der Smart Contract USDC aus.
Kalshi settelt USD via die CFTC-regulierte Clearinghouse — die saubere Variante, mit höherem KYC-Aufwand. Betfair Exchange zahlt in der Konto-Währung (GBP/EUR), abzüglich 2-5 % Kommission. Smarkets folgt dem gleichen Modell wie Betfair, mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2 %).
Häufige Fragen
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — welche ist besser?
- Hängt von Ihrem Standort ab. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert und US-only mit voller KYC. Polymarket ist global, on-chain, ohne KYC bis $1.500. Polymarket hat ~10x höhere Liquidität, aber höheres regulatorisches Risiko.
- Welche Plattform hat die tiefste Liquidität?
- Polymarket — mit deutlichem Abstand. Top-Märkte erreichen $50-500 Mio Volumen, Kalshi ~$200 Mio kumuliert, Betfair ähnlich. Bei tiefer Liquidität bewegt Ihr Trade die Quote weniger.
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Welche Plattform ist in Deutschland zugänglich?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Kalshi ist US-only. Betfair und Smarkets sind in DE/AT/CH geo-blockiert. PolyGram hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint und leitet zu Polymarkets Orderbuch ohne Gebühren.
- Welche Plattform unterstützt Klarna/Sofort?
- Direkt: keine. Polymarket akzeptiert nur USDC on Polygon. PolyGram bietet eine Fiat-On-Ramp via Klarna oder Sofort (DE/AT/CH) und konvertiert intern zu USDC für das Polymarket-Orderbuch. T+1 Bearbeitung.
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Jetzt „Prognose: TCU vs. Baylor" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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