Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| New Mexico State O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 63% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 61% |
| Spread -0.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston | 57% |
| O/U 43.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| New Mexico State O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| New Mexico State O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Sam Houston O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 43% |
| Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Sam Houston O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 53.5 | 33% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 29% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 27% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Sam Houston O/U 26.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 61.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| O/U 63.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Sam Houston O/U 35.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 79% Chance für prognose: new mexico state vs. sam houston. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Sam Houston, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $151K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch ist diese Seite ein 4-Plattform-Snapshot. Polymarkets Live-Mid-Preis ist die einzige Echtzeit-Datenquelle; alles andere ist statisch gepflegt. Bei Plattform-Attributen vertrauen wir auf die offiziellen Anbieter-Seiten als Quelle. Quote-Spalten werden nur ausgefüllt, wo wir Daten haben.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Settlement ist der größte Unterschied zwischen den vier Plattformen: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (sofort), Kalshi USD über CFTC (T+1), Betfair und Smarkets in lokaler Währung über Bank-Withdrawal (T+1 bis T+3). On-chain Settlement ist deutlich schneller — wer auf Polymarkets Orderbuch zugreift, hat USDC binnen Minuten auf der Wallet.
Häufige Fragen
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — welche ist besser?
- Hängt von Ihrem Standort ab. Kalshi ist CFTC-reguliert und US-only mit voller KYC. Polymarket ist global, on-chain, ohne KYC bis $1.500. Polymarket hat ~10x höhere Liquidität, aber höheres regulatorisches Risiko.
- Was kostet Polymarket vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% Gebühren, nur Polygon-Netzwerkkosten (~$0,01/Trade). Kalshi: bis zu 7% pro Trade plus Spread. Für hochfrequente Trader ist Polymarket dramatisch günstiger.
- Ist Betfair eine Polymarket-Alternative?
- Nur eingeschränkt. Betfair Exchange ist UK-fokussiert mit Sportwetten-Schwerpunkt; sie hatten zwar Politik-Märkte, aber dünne Liquidität gegenüber Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist mit Smarkets als Alternative?
- Smarkets ist eine UK-Wettbörse mit niedrigerer Standard-Kommission (2%) als Betfair. Liquidität bei politischen Märkten ist geringer als Polymarket, vergleichbar mit Kalshi. Geo-Block in DE/AT/CH.
- Welche Plattform ist in Deutschland zugänglich?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Kalshi ist US-only. Betfair und Smarkets sind in DE/AT/CH geo-blockiert. PolyGram hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint und leitet zu Polymarkets Orderbuch ohne Gebühren.
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Jetzt „Prognose: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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